Baseball Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.883x cash-out ratio against Baseball Ultra Pack's 0.766x, across 567 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Ultra Pack | Wildcard Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $250 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $226.23 | $103.71 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.766x | 0.883x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.905x | 1.037x |
| Median pull | $213.95 | $89.40 |
| Hit rate | 24.7% | 30.9% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.36x | 0.48x |
| Pulls indexed | 150 | 417 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Ultra Pack: 1000 points from Aug 9 to Nov 4, starting at 0.76x and ending at 0.77x, essentially flat across the period, ranging between 0.70x and 0.91x. Wildcard Master Pack: 1000 points from Aug 9 to Nov 4, starting at 0.83x and ending at 0.88x, up overall (+6.1%), ranging between 0.73x and 1.16x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Ultra Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
- Wildcard Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.883x vs 0.766x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Ultra Pack: 24.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 30.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Wildcard Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.48x vs 0.36x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies