Baseball Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Baseball Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 0.858x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Master Pack's 0.841x, across 135 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Ultra Pack | Wildcard Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $250 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $253.63 | $99.43 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.858x | 0.841x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.015x | 0.994x |
| Median pull | $219.00 | $85.45 |
| Hit rate | 25.4% | 22.5% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.46x | 0.35x |
| Pulls indexed | 55 | 80 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Ultra Pack: 543 points from Aug 1 to Sep 19, starting at 0.79x and ending at 0.86x, up overall (+9.3%), ranging between 0.70x and 0.91x. Wildcard Master Pack: 590 points from Jul 12 to Sep 19, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.84x, essentially flat across the period, ranging between 0.69x and 0.96x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Ultra Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
- Baseball Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.858x vs 0.841x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Ultra Pack: 25.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 22.5%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.46x vs 0.35x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies