Baseball Ultra Pack vs Sports Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.768x cash-out ratio against Baseball Ultra Pack's 0.749x, across 45 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Ultra Pack | Sports Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $250 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $221.45 | $89.80 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.749x | 0.768x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.886x | 0.898x |
| Median pull | $219.00 | $88.05 |
| Hit rate | 0.0% | 27.8% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.08x | 0.38x |
| Pulls indexed | 9 | 36 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Ultra Pack: 431 points from Aug 1 to Sep 11, starting at 0.79x and ending at 0.75x, down overall (-4.6%), ranging between 0.70x and 0.80x. Sports Master Pack: 477 points from Jul 17 to Sep 11, starting at 0.73x and ending at 0.77x, up overall (+4.6%), ranging between 0.73x and 1.57x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Ultra Pack vs Sports Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Ultra Pack or Sports Master Pack?
- Sports Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.768x vs 0.749x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Ultra Pack: 0.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Master Pack: 27.8%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.38x vs 0.08x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Sports Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies