Baseball Ultra Pack vs Sports Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.852x cash-out ratio against Baseball Ultra Pack's 0.776x, across 369 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Ultra Pack | Sports Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $250 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $229.36 | $99.78 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.776x | 0.852x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.917x | 0.998x |
| Median pull | $214.00 | $86.00 |
| Hit rate | 23.1% | 21.0% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.39x | 0.37x |
| Pulls indexed | 117 | 252 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Ultra Pack: 957 points from Aug 1 to Oct 26, starting at 0.79x and ending at 0.78x, down overall (-1.1%), ranging between 0.70x and 0.91x. Sports Master Pack: 1000 points from Jul 26 to Oct 26, starting at 0.73x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+16.1%), ranging between 0.73x and 1.57x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Ultra Pack vs Sports Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Ultra Pack or Sports Master Pack?
- Sports Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.852x vs 0.776x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Ultra Pack: 23.1% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Master Pack: 21.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.39x vs 0.37x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Sports Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies