Baseball Starter Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Baseball Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.844x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Master Pack's 0.815x, across 867 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Starter Pack | Wildcard Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $25 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $24.32 | $96.29 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.844x | 0.815x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.973x | 0.963x |
| Median pull | $21.60 | $85.40 |
| Hit rate | 23.4% | 22.7% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.48x | 0.33x |
| Pulls indexed | 735 | 132 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Starter Pack: 690 points from Jul 28 to Oct 2, starting at 0.71x and ending at 0.84x, up overall (+18.5%), ranging between 0.70x and 1.32x. Wildcard Master Pack: 701 points from Jul 12 to Oct 2, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.81x, down overall (-2.7%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.96x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Starter Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Starter Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
- Baseball Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.844x vs 0.815x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Starter Pack: 23.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 22.7%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.48x vs 0.33x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Starter Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies