Baseball Starter Pack vs Sports Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.855x cash-out ratio against Baseball Starter Pack's 0.853x, across 783 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Starter Pack | Sports Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $25 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $24.56 | $99.51 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.853x | 0.855x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.982x | 0.995x |
| Median pull | $21.70 | $87.45 |
| Hit rate | 23.9% | 22.1% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.50x | 0.38x |
| Pulls indexed | 643 | 140 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Starter Pack: 664 points from Jul 28 to Sep 30, starting at 0.71x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+19.8%), ranging between 0.70x and 1.32x. Sports Master Pack: 674 points from Jul 17 to Sep 30, starting at 0.74x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+15.4%), ranging between 0.74x and 1.58x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Starter Pack vs Sports Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Starter Pack or Sports Master Pack?
- Sports Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.855x vs 0.853x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Starter Pack: 23.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Master Pack: 22.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.50x vs 0.38x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Starter Pack EV & verdict · Sports Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies