Baseball Pro Pack vs Wildcard Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 1.224x cash-out ratio against Baseball Pro Pack's 0.848x, across 381 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Pro Pack | Wildcard Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $50 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $49.63 | $361.73 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.848x | 1.224x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.993x | 1.447x |
| Median pull | $43.30 | $214.50 |
| Hit rate | 26.7% | 24.0% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.50x | 0.66x |
| Pulls indexed | 356 | 25 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Pro Pack: 679 points from Jul 12 to Sep 30, starting at 1.70x and ending at 0.85x, down overall (-50.0%), ranging between 0.73x and 1.70x. Wildcard Ultra Pack: 678 points from Jul 17 to Sep 30, starting at 0.72x and ending at 1.22x, up overall (+69.1%), ranging between 0.65x and 1.25x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Pro Pack vs Wildcard Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Pro Pack or Wildcard Ultra Pack?
- Wildcard Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.224x vs 0.848x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Pro Pack: 26.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Ultra Pack: 24.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Wildcard Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.66x vs 0.50x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Pro Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies