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Baseball Pro Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Wildcard Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 1.013x EV ratio against Baseball Pro Pack's 0.965x, across 159 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBaseball Pro PackWildcard Starter Pack
VerdictSKIPCAUTION
Pack price$50$25
Calibrated EV$48.27$25.33
EV ratio0.965x1.013x
Cash-out EV ratio0.875x0.950x
Median pull$42.20$22.20
Hit rate34.6%25.6%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.47x0.37x
Pulls indexed26133

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

EV ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Pro Pack: 234 points from Jul 3 to Aug 10, starting at 2.02x and ending at 0.96x, down overall (-52.1%), ranging between 0.94x and 2.06x. Wildcard Starter Pack: 234 points from Jul 3 to Aug 10, starting at 0.90x and ending at 1.01x, up overall (+12.2%), ranging between 0.78x and 1.17x.

Baseball Pro PackWildcard Starter Pack

Ratios computed against each pack's current price.

03 / Quick answers

Baseball Pro Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Baseball Pro Pack or Wildcard Starter Pack?
Wildcard Starter Pack currently offers the better EV ratio (1.013x vs 0.965x). Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Baseball Pro Pack: 34.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Starter Pack: 25.6%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Baseball Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.47x vs 0.37x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Baseball Pro Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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