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Baseball Platinum Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Wildcard Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.834x cash-out ratio against Baseball Platinum Pack's 0.739x, across 100 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBaseball Platinum PackWildcard Master Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$500$100
Calibrated EV$436.99$98.55
Cash-out ratio0.739x0.834x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.874x0.985x
Median pull$402.85$85.45
Hit rate22.2%21.9%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.22x0.35x
Pulls indexed1882

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Platinum Pack: 551 points from Aug 1 to Sep 19, starting at 0.64x and ending at 0.74x, up overall (+16.4%), ranging between 0.64x and 0.87x. Wildcard Master Pack: 596 points from Jul 12 to Sep 19, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.83x, essentially flat across the period, ranging between 0.69x and 0.96x.

Baseball Platinum PackWildcard Master Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Baseball Platinum Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Baseball Platinum Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
Wildcard Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.834x vs 0.739x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Baseball Platinum Pack: 22.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 21.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Wildcard Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.35x vs 0.22x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Baseball Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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