Baseball Platinum Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 1.128x cash-out ratio against Baseball Platinum Pack's 0.970x, across 162 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Platinum Pack | Sports Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $500 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $570.23 | $333.02 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.970x | 1.128x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.140x | 1.332x |
| Median pull | $416.25 | $221.00 |
| Hit rate | 35.7% | 36.8% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.51x | 0.49x |
| Pulls indexed | 56 | 106 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Platinum Pack: 1000 points from Aug 1 to Oct 29, starting at 0.64x and ending at 0.97x, up overall (+52.0%), ranging between 0.64x and 1.19x. Sports Ultra Pack: 1000 points from Aug 1 to Oct 29, starting at 0.69x and ending at 1.13x, up overall (+64.2%), ranging between 0.68x and 1.69x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Platinum Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Platinum Pack or Sports Ultra Pack?
- Sports Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.128x vs 0.970x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Platinum Pack: 35.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Ultra Pack: 36.8%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Platinum Pack has the higher volatility (0.51x vs 0.49x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Sports Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies