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Baseball Platinum Pack vs Sports Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Sports Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.835x cash-out ratio against Baseball Platinum Pack's 0.789x, across 136 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBaseball Platinum PackSports Master Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$500$100
Calibrated EV$466.29$96.87
Cash-out ratio0.789x0.835x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.933x0.969x
Median pull$412.70$86.60
Hit rate27.3%21.1%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.24x0.40x
Pulls indexed22114

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Platinum Pack: 563 points from Aug 1 to Sep 21, starting at 0.64x and ending at 0.79x, up overall (+24.3%), ranging between 0.64x and 0.87x. Sports Master Pack: 607 points from Jul 17 to Sep 21, starting at 0.74x and ending at 0.83x, up overall (+12.7%), ranging between 0.74x and 1.59x.

Baseball Platinum PackSports Master Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Baseball Platinum Pack vs Sports Master Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Baseball Platinum Pack or Sports Master Pack?
Sports Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.835x vs 0.789x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Baseball Platinum Pack: 27.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Master Pack: 21.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Sports Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.40x vs 0.24x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Baseball Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Sports Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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