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Baseball Mythic Pack vs Sports Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Sports Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 1.035x cash-out ratio against Baseball Mythic Pack's 0.924x, across 15 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBaseball Mythic PackSports Platinum Pack
VerdictCAUTIONCAUTION
Pack price$5000$500
Calibrated EV$5460.18$591.37
Cash-out ratio0.924x1.035x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.092x1.183x
Median pull$4464.00$410.15
Hit rate40.0%20.0%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.31x0.53x
Pulls indexed510

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Mythic Pack: 147 points from Sep 7 to Sep 19, starting at 0.92x and ending at 0.92x, essentially flat across the period. Sports Platinum Pack: 433 points from Aug 8 to Sep 19, starting at 0.70x and ending at 1.03x, up overall (+47.0%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.03x.

Baseball Mythic PackSports Platinum Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Baseball Mythic Pack vs Sports Platinum Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Baseball Mythic Pack or Sports Platinum Pack?
Sports Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.035x vs 0.924x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Baseball Mythic Pack: 40.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Platinum Pack: 20.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Sports Platinum Pack has the higher volatility (0.53x vs 0.31x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Baseball Mythic Pack EV & verdict · Sports Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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