Baseball Mythic Pack vs Baseball Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Baseball Mythic Pack is currently the better value: a 0.924x cash-out ratio against Baseball Ultra Pack's 0.858x, across 60 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Mythic Pack | Baseball Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $5000 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $5460.18 | $253.63 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.924x | 0.858x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.092x | 1.015x |
| Median pull | $4464.00 | $219.00 |
| Hit rate | 40.0% | 25.4% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.31x | 0.46x |
| Pulls indexed | 5 | 55 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Mythic Pack: 148 points from Sep 7 to Sep 19, starting at 0.92x and ending at 0.92x, essentially flat across the period. Baseball Ultra Pack: 542 points from Aug 1 to Sep 19, starting at 0.79x and ending at 0.86x, up overall (+9.3%), ranging between 0.70x and 0.91x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Mythic Pack vs Baseball Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Mythic Pack or Baseball Ultra Pack?
- Baseball Mythic Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.924x vs 0.858x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Mythic Pack: 40.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Baseball Ultra Pack: 25.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.46x vs 0.31x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Mythic Pack EV & verdict · Baseball Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies