Baseball Master Pack vs Wildcard Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 1.101x cash-out ratio against Baseball Master Pack's 0.846x, across 524 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Master Pack | Wildcard Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | BUY |
| Pack price | $100 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $99.15 | $324.01 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.846x | 1.101x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.992x | 1.296x |
| Median pull | $85.60 | $217.75 |
| Hit rate | 31.6% | 35.3% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.45x | 0.80x |
| Pulls indexed | 456 | 68 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Master Pack: 1000 points from Aug 4 to Oct 31, starting at 0.69x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+22.6%), ranging between 0.69x and 1.29x. Wildcard Ultra Pack: 1000 points from Aug 4 to Oct 31, starting at 0.73x and ending at 1.10x, up overall (+51.4%), ranging between 0.66x and 1.55x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Master Pack vs Wildcard Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Master Pack or Wildcard Ultra Pack?
- Wildcard Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.101x vs 0.846x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Master Pack: 31.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Ultra Pack: 35.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Wildcard Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.80x vs 0.45x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Master Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies