Baseball Master Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Baseball Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.873x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Starter Pack's 0.842x, across 914 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Master Pack | Wildcard Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $100 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $102.79 | $24.11 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.873x | 0.842x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.028x | 0.964x |
| Median pull | $85.95 | $21.90 |
| Hit rate | 29.4% | 23.4% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.49x | 0.36x |
| Pulls indexed | 170 | 744 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Master Pack: 644 points from Jul 12 to Sep 27, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.87x, up overall (+30.1%), ranging between 0.67x and 1.29x. Wildcard Starter Pack: 644 points from Jul 12 to Sep 27, starting at 0.71x and ending at 0.84x, up overall (+19.3%), ranging between 0.69x and 1.02x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Master Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Master Pack or Wildcard Starter Pack?
- Baseball Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.873x vs 0.842x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Master Pack: 29.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Starter Pack: 23.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.49x vs 0.36x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Master Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies