Baseball Master Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Baseball Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.892x cash-out ratio against Sports Ultra Pack's 0.883x, across 153 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Master Pack | Sports Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $100 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $104.84 | $261.03 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.892x | 0.883x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.048x | 1.044x |
| Median pull | $85.95 | $219.50 |
| Hit rate | 27.1% | 37.1% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.52x | 0.41x |
| Pulls indexed | 118 | 35 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Master Pack: 585 points from Jul 12 to Sep 18, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.89x, up overall (+32.7%), ranging between 0.67x and 1.29x. Sports Ultra Pack: 585 points from Jul 12 to Sep 18, starting at 0.66x and ending at 0.88x, up overall (+33.4%), ranging between 0.66x and 1.69x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Master Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Master Pack or Sports Ultra Pack?
- Baseball Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.892x vs 0.883x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Master Pack: 27.1% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Ultra Pack: 37.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.52x vs 0.41x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Master Pack EV & verdict · Sports Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies