Baseball Master Pack vs Sports Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.864x cash-out ratio against Baseball Master Pack's 0.851x, across 828 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Master Pack | Sports Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $100 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $99.56 | $100.76 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.851x | 0.864x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.996x | 1.008x |
| Median pull | $85.05 | $85.95 |
| Hit rate | 31.9% | 21.6% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.45x | 0.43x |
| Pulls indexed | 504 | 324 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Master Pack: 1000 points from Aug 7 to Nov 3, starting at 0.91x and ending at 0.85x, down overall (-6.7%), ranging between 0.80x and 1.29x. Sports Master Pack: 1000 points from Aug 7 to Nov 3, starting at 0.82x and ending at 0.87x, up overall (+6.9%), ranging between 0.74x and 1.10x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Master Pack vs Sports Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Master Pack or Sports Master Pack?
- Sports Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.864x vs 0.851x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Master Pack: 31.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Master Pack: 21.6%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.45x vs 0.43x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Master Pack EV & verdict · Sports Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies