Baseball Master Pack vs Sports Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Baseball Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.891x cash-out ratio against Sports Master Pack's 0.806x, across 230 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Master Pack | Sports Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $100 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $104.79 | $93.40 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.891x | 0.806x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.048x | 0.934x |
| Median pull | $86.10 | $86.40 |
| Hit rate | 27.3% | 21.1% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.52x | 0.38x |
| Pulls indexed | 121 | 109 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Master Pack: 596 points from Jul 12 to Sep 19, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.89x, up overall (+32.6%), ranging between 0.67x and 1.29x. Sports Master Pack: 595 points from Jul 17 to Sep 19, starting at 0.74x and ending at 0.81x, up overall (+8.8%), ranging between 0.74x and 1.59x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Master Pack vs Sports Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Master Pack or Sports Master Pack?
- Baseball Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.891x vs 0.806x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Master Pack: 27.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Master Pack: 21.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.52x vs 0.38x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Master Pack EV & verdict · Sports Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies