Baseball Legend Pack vs Wildcard Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 1.554x cash-out ratio against Baseball Legend Pack's 1.119x, across 57 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Legend Pack | Wildcard Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | EARLY READ |
| Pack price | $2500 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $3306.83 | $456.76 |
| Cash-out ratio | 1.119x | 1.554x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.323x | 1.827x |
| Median pull | $2281.50 | $218.40 |
| Hit rate | 16.7% | 33.3% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.26x | 0.83x |
| Pulls indexed | 6 | 51 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Legend Pack: 801 points from Aug 10 to Oct 24, starting at 0.78x and ending at 1.12x, up overall (+43.5%), ranging between 0.67x and 1.12x. Wildcard Ultra Pack: 978 points from Jul 17 to Oct 24, starting at 0.73x and ending at 1.55x, up overall (+113.5%), ranging between 0.66x and 1.55x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Legend Pack vs Wildcard Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Legend Pack or Wildcard Ultra Pack?
- Wildcard Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.554x vs 1.119x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Legend Pack: 16.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Ultra Pack: 33.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Wildcard Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.83x vs 0.26x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Legend Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies