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Baseball Legend Pack vs Wildcard Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Baseball Legend Pack is currently the better value: a 1.076x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Platinum Pack's 0.884x, across 50 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBaseball Legend PackWildcard Platinum Pack
VerdictCAUTIONCAUTION
Pack price$2500$500
Calibrated EV$3178.75$487.40
Cash-out ratio1.076x0.884x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.272x0.975x
Median pull$2304.00$415.00
Hit rate22.2%21.9%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.37x0.26x
Pulls indexed941

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Legend Pack: 871 points from Aug 10 to Oct 29, starting at 0.78x and ending at 1.08x, up overall (+37.9%), ranging between 0.67x and 1.21x. Wildcard Platinum Pack: 886 points from Aug 8 to Oct 29, starting at 0.83x and ending at 0.88x, up overall (+6.8%), ranging between 0.67x and 1.01x.

Baseball Legend PackWildcard Platinum Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Baseball Legend Pack vs Wildcard Platinum Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Baseball Legend Pack or Wildcard Platinum Pack?
Baseball Legend Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.076x vs 0.884x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Baseball Legend Pack: 22.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Platinum Pack: 21.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Baseball Legend Pack has the higher volatility (0.37x vs 0.26x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Baseball Legend Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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