Baseball Legend Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Baseball Legend Pack is currently the better value: a 1.076x cash-out ratio against Sports Ultra Pack's 0.965x, across 127 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Legend Pack | Sports Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $2500 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $3178.75 | $284.93 |
| Cash-out ratio | 1.076x | 0.965x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.272x | 1.140x |
| Median pull | $2304.00 | $222.00 |
| Hit rate | 22.2% | 37.3% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.37x | 0.48x |
| Pulls indexed | 9 | 118 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Legend Pack: 941 points from Aug 10 to Nov 1, starting at 0.78x and ending at 1.08x, up overall (+37.9%), ranging between 0.67x and 1.21x. Sports Ultra Pack: 1000 points from Aug 5 to Nov 1, starting at 1.17x and ending at 0.96x, down overall (-17.6%), ranging between 0.68x and 1.23x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Legend Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Legend Pack or Sports Ultra Pack?
- Baseball Legend Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.076x vs 0.965x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Legend Pack: 22.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Ultra Pack: 37.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.48x vs 0.37x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Legend Pack EV & verdict · Sports Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies