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Baseball Legend Pack vs Baseball Mythic Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Baseball Mythic Pack is currently the better value: a 0.906x cash-out ratio against Baseball Legend Pack's 0.671x, across 11 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBaseball Legend PackBaseball Mythic Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$2500$5000
Calibrated EV$1981.72$5353.94
Cash-out ratio0.671x0.906x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.793x1.071x
Median pull$2259.00$4908.50
Hit rate0.0%50.0%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.06x0.28x
Pulls indexed56

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Legend Pack: 791 points from Aug 10 to Oct 23, starting at 0.78x and ending at 0.67x, down overall (-14.0%), ranging between 0.67x and 0.79x. Baseball Mythic Pack: 528 points from Sep 7 to Oct 23, starting at 0.92x and ending at 0.91x, down overall (-1.9%), ranging between 0.91x and 0.92x.

Baseball Legend PackBaseball Mythic Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Baseball Legend Pack vs Baseball Mythic Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Baseball Legend Pack or Baseball Mythic Pack?
Baseball Mythic Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.906x vs 0.671x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Baseball Legend Pack: 0.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Baseball Mythic Pack: 50.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Baseball Mythic Pack has the higher volatility (0.28x vs 0.06x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Baseball Legend Pack EV & verdict · Baseball Mythic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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