Baseball Diamond Pack vs Wildcard Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 1.222x cash-out ratio against Baseball Diamond Pack's 0.801x, across 93 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Diamond Pack | Wildcard Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | BUY |
| Pack price | $1000 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $946.66 | $359.52 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.801x | 1.222x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.947x | 1.438x |
| Median pull | $846.40 | $216.90 |
| Hit rate | 38.7% | 33.9% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.40x | 0.83x |
| Pulls indexed | 31 | 62 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Diamond Pack: 863 points from Aug 13 to Oct 30, starting at 0.63x and ending at 0.80x, up overall (+27.3%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.39x. Wildcard Ultra Pack: 1000 points from Aug 2 to Oct 30, starting at 0.73x and ending at 1.22x, up overall (+68.1%), ranging between 0.66x and 1.55x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Diamond Pack vs Wildcard Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Diamond Pack or Wildcard Ultra Pack?
- Wildcard Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.222x vs 0.801x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Diamond Pack: 38.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Ultra Pack: 33.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Wildcard Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.83x vs 0.40x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Diamond Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies