Baseball Diamond Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 0.951x cash-out ratio against Baseball Diamond Pack's 0.809x, across 147 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Diamond Pack | Sports Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $1000 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $956.60 | $280.64 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.809x | 0.951x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.957x | 1.123x |
| Median pull | $847.00 | $221.00 |
| Hit rate | 39.4% | 36.0% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.39x | 0.48x |
| Pulls indexed | 33 | 114 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Diamond Pack: 889 points from Aug 13 to Oct 31, starting at 0.63x and ending at 0.81x, up overall (+28.6%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.39x. Sports Ultra Pack: 1000 points from Aug 4 to Oct 31, starting at 0.69x and ending at 0.95x, up overall (+38.4%), ranging between 0.68x and 1.69x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Diamond Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Diamond Pack or Sports Ultra Pack?
- Sports Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.951x vs 0.809x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Diamond Pack: 39.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Ultra Pack: 36.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.48x vs 0.39x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Diamond Pack EV & verdict · Sports Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies