Baseball Diamond Pack vs Baseball Mythic Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Baseball Mythic Pack is currently the better value: a 0.924x cash-out ratio against Baseball Diamond Pack's 0.804x, across 14 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Diamond Pack | Baseball Mythic Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $1000 | $5000 |
| Calibrated EV | $950.20 | $5460.18 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.804x | 0.924x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.950x | 1.092x |
| Median pull | $851.30 | $4464.00 |
| Hit rate | 33.3% | 40.0% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.28x | 0.31x |
| Pulls indexed | 9 | 5 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Diamond Pack: 271 points from Aug 13 to Sep 10, starting at 0.63x and ending at 0.80x, up overall (+27.8%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.16x. Baseball Mythic Pack: 29 points from Sep 7 to Sep 10, starting at 0.92x and ending at 0.92x, essentially flat across the period.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Diamond Pack vs Baseball Mythic Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Diamond Pack or Baseball Mythic Pack?
- Baseball Mythic Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.924x vs 0.804x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Diamond Pack: 33.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Baseball Mythic Pack: 40.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Mythic Pack has the higher volatility (0.31x vs 0.28x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Diamond Pack EV & verdict · Baseball Mythic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies