Baseball Diamond Pack vs Baseball Mythic Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Baseball Mythic Pack is currently the better value: a 0.906x cash-out ratio against Baseball Diamond Pack's 0.831x, across 32 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Diamond Pack | Baseball Mythic Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $1000 | $5000 |
| Calibrated EV | $982.82 | $5353.94 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.831x | 0.906x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.983x | 1.071x |
| Median pull | $848.85 | $4908.50 |
| Hit rate | 38.5% | 50.0% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.41x | 0.28x |
| Pulls indexed | 26 | 6 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Diamond Pack: 776 points from Aug 13 to Oct 23, starting at 0.63x and ending at 0.83x, up overall (+32.1%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.39x. Baseball Mythic Pack: 534 points from Sep 7 to Oct 23, starting at 0.92x and ending at 0.91x, down overall (-1.9%), ranging between 0.91x and 0.92x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Diamond Pack vs Baseball Mythic Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Diamond Pack or Baseball Mythic Pack?
- Baseball Mythic Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.906x vs 0.831x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Diamond Pack: 38.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Baseball Mythic Pack: 50.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Diamond Pack has the higher volatility (0.41x vs 0.28x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Diamond Pack EV & verdict · Baseball Mythic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies