$150 U.S. Coins Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, $150 U.S. Coins Pack is currently the better value: a 0.899x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Master Pack's 0.791x, across 229 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | $150 U.S. Coins Pack | Wildcard Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $150 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $159.45 | $93.54 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.899x | 0.791x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.063x | 0.935x |
| Median pull | $120.01 | $85.40 |
| Hit rate | 33.9% | 22.2% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.45x | 0.33x |
| Pulls indexed | 112 | 117 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. $150 U.S. Coins Pack: 578 points from Aug 4 to Sep 30, starting at 0.65x and ending at 0.90x, up overall (+37.7%), ranging between 0.62x and 1.01x. Wildcard Master Pack: 674 points from Jul 12 to Sep 30, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.79x, down overall (-5.6%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.96x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
$150 U.S. Coins Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: $150 U.S. Coins Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
- $150 U.S. Coins Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.899x vs 0.791x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- $150 U.S. Coins Pack: 33.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 22.2%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- $150 U.S. Coins Pack has the higher volatility (0.45x vs 0.33x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: $150 U.S. Coins Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies