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Wildcard Basic Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Wildcard Basic Pack is currently the better value: a 0.844x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Pro Pack's 0.812x, across 2,346 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricWildcard Basic PackWildcard Pro Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$15$50
Calibrated EV$14.48$47.43
Cash-out ratio0.844x0.812x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.965x0.949x
Median pull$13.00$42.00
Hit rate19.4%19.4%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.39x0.33x
Pulls indexed2,212134

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Wildcard Basic Pack: 585 points from Jul 12 to Sep 18, starting at 0.85x and ending at 0.84x, down overall (-1.2%), ranging between 0.79x and 1.12x. Wildcard Pro Pack: 567 points from Jul 29 to Sep 18, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.81x, up overall (+21.2%), ranging between 0.63x and 0.93x.

Wildcard Basic PackWildcard Pro Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Wildcard Basic Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Wildcard Basic Pack or Wildcard Pro Pack?
Wildcard Basic Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.844x vs 0.812x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Wildcard Basic Pack: 19.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Pro Pack: 19.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Wildcard Basic Pack has the higher volatility (0.39x vs 0.33x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Wildcard Basic Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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