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Sports Pro Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Sports Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 1.093x EV ratio against Wildcard Basic Pack's 0.989x, across 443 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricSports Pro PackWildcard Basic Pack
VerdictEARLY READCAUTION
Pack price$50$15
Calibrated EV$54.63$14.84
EV ratio1.093x0.989x
Cash-out EV ratio1.014x0.937x
Median pull$45.40$13.10
Hit rate34.5%17.4%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.47x0.38x
Pulls indexed29414

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

EV ratio over time, two packs compared. Sports Pro Pack: 214 points from Jul 3 to Aug 8, starting at 0.97x and ending at 1.09x, up overall (+13.1%), ranging between 0.71x and 1.21x. Wildcard Basic Pack: 214 points from Jul 3 to Aug 8, starting at 0.96x and ending at 0.99x, up overall (+2.7%), ranging between 0.89x and 1.28x.

Sports Pro PackWildcard Basic Pack

Ratios computed against each pack's current price.

03 / Quick answers

Sports Pro Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Sports Pro Pack or Wildcard Basic Pack?
Sports Pro Pack currently offers the better EV ratio (1.093x vs 0.989x). Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Sports Pro Pack: 34.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Basic Pack: 17.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Sports Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.47x vs 0.38x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Sports Pro Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Basic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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