Sports Basic Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Basic Pack is currently the better value: a 0.872x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Pro Pack's 0.839x, across 6,048 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Sports Basic Pack | Wildcard Pro Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $15 | $50 |
| Calibrated EV | $15.11 | $49.23 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.872x | 0.839x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.007x | 0.985x |
| Median pull | $13.00 | $43.50 |
| Hit rate | 24.9% | 30.3% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.46x | 0.39x |
| Pulls indexed | 5,301 | 747 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Sports Basic Pack: 1000 points from Aug 9 to Nov 4, starting at 0.85x and ending at 0.87x, up overall (+2.7%), ranging between 0.80x and 0.89x. Wildcard Pro Pack: 1000 points from Aug 9 to Nov 4, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.84x, essentially flat across the period, ranging between 0.73x and 0.93x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Sports Basic Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Sports Basic Pack or Wildcard Pro Pack?
- Sports Basic Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.872x vs 0.839x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Sports Basic Pack: 24.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Pro Pack: 30.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Basic Pack has the higher volatility (0.46x vs 0.39x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Sports Basic Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies