Sports Basic Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.872x cash-out ratio against Sports Basic Pack's 0.852x, across 1,046 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Sports Basic Pack | Wildcard Pro Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $15 | $50 |
| Calibrated EV | $14.78 | $50.96 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.852x | 0.872x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.985x | 1.019x |
| Median pull | $12.70 | $42.30 |
| Hit rate | 18.6% | 21.1% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.41x | 0.37x |
| Pulls indexed | 904 | 142 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Sports Basic Pack: 585 points from Jul 28 to Sep 20, starting at 0.75x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+13.8%), ranging between 0.75x and 0.89x. Wildcard Pro Pack: 579 points from Jul 29 to Sep 20, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.87x, up overall (+30.3%), ranging between 0.63x and 0.93x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Sports Basic Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Sports Basic Pack or Wildcard Pro Pack?
- Wildcard Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.872x vs 0.852x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Sports Basic Pack: 18.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Pro Pack: 21.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Basic Pack has the higher volatility (0.41x vs 0.37x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Sports Basic Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies