Sports Basic Pack vs Sports Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Basic Pack is currently the better value: a 0.864x cash-out ratio against Sports Pro Pack's 0.852x, across 4,483 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Sports Basic Pack | Sports Pro Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $15 | $50 |
| Calibrated EV | $15.05 | $49.76 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.864x | 0.852x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.003x | 0.995x |
| Median pull | $12.80 | $44.47 |
| Hit rate | 21.6% | 32.8% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.45x | 0.47x |
| Pulls indexed | 3,907 | 576 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Sports Basic Pack: 998 points from Jul 28 to Oct 27, starting at 0.75x and ending at 0.86x, up overall (+15.7%), ranging between 0.75x and 0.89x. Sports Pro Pack: 1000 points from Jul 28 to Oct 27, starting at 0.73x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+16.5%), ranging between 0.61x and 1.03x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Sports Basic Pack vs Sports Pro Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Sports Basic Pack or Sports Pro Pack?
- Sports Basic Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.864x vs 0.852x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Sports Basic Pack: 21.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Pro Pack: 32.8%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.47x vs 0.45x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Sports Basic Pack EV & verdict · Sports Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies