Sports Basic Pack vs Sports Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.943x cash-out ratio against Sports Basic Pack's 0.900x, across 318 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Sports Basic Pack | Sports Pro Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $15 | $50 |
| Calibrated EV | $14.80 | $53.19 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.900x | 0.943x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.987x | 1.064x |
| Median pull | $12.70 | $44.90 |
| Hit rate | 19.0% | 33.0% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.37x | 0.46x |
| Pulls indexed | 221 | 97 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Sports Basic Pack: 462 points from Jul 28 to Sep 11, starting at 0.79x and ending at 0.90x, up overall (+13.8%), ranging between 0.79x and 0.94x. Sports Pro Pack: 474 points from Jul 12 to Sep 11, starting at 0.75x and ending at 0.94x, up overall (+25.1%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.07x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Sports Basic Pack vs Sports Pro Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Sports Basic Pack or Sports Pro Pack?
- Sports Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.943x vs 0.900x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Sports Basic Pack: 19.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Pro Pack: 33.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.46x vs 0.37x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Sports Basic Pack EV & verdict · Sports Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies