Soccer Starter Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Soccer Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.872x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Basic Pack's 0.844x, across 2,436 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Soccer Starter Pack | Wildcard Basic Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $25 | $15 |
| Calibrated EV | $24.18 | $14.48 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.872x | 0.844x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.967x | 0.965x |
| Median pull | $22.00 | $13.00 |
| Hit rate | 24.6% | 19.4% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.30x | 0.39x |
| Pulls indexed | 224 | 2,212 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Soccer Starter Pack: 572 points from Jul 28 to Sep 18, starting at 1.09x and ending at 0.87x, down overall (-20.1%), ranging between 0.79x and 1.09x. Wildcard Basic Pack: 585 points from Jul 12 to Sep 18, starting at 0.85x and ending at 0.84x, down overall (-1.2%), ranging between 0.79x and 1.12x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Soccer Starter Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Soccer Starter Pack or Wildcard Basic Pack?
- Soccer Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.872x vs 0.844x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Soccer Starter Pack: 24.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Basic Pack: 19.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Wildcard Basic Pack has the higher volatility (0.39x vs 0.30x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Soccer Starter Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Basic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies