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Soccer Pro Pack vs Soccer Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Soccer Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.935x cash-out ratio against Soccer Pro Pack's 0.837x, across 1,583 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricSoccer Pro PackSoccer Starter Pack
VerdictSKIPCAUTION
Pack price$50$25
Calibrated EV$48.67$25.92
Cash-out ratio0.837x0.935x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.973x1.037x
Median pull$44.00$22.50
Hit rate28.7%30.8%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.41x0.49x
Pulls indexed766817

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Soccer Pro Pack: 986 points from Jul 26 to Oct 25, starting at 0.60x and ending at 0.84x, up overall (+39.0%), ranging between 0.60x and 1.01x. Soccer Starter Pack: 981 points from Jul 28 to Oct 25, starting at 1.09x and ending at 0.94x, down overall (-14.4%), ranging between 0.79x and 1.09x.

Soccer Pro PackSoccer Starter Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Soccer Pro Pack vs Soccer Starter Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Soccer Pro Pack or Soccer Starter Pack?
Soccer Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.935x vs 0.837x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Soccer Pro Pack: 28.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Soccer Starter Pack: 30.8%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Soccer Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.49x vs 0.41x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Soccer Pro Pack EV & verdict · Soccer Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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