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Soccer Master Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Wildcard Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.812x cash-out ratio against Soccer Master Pack's 0.784x, across 275 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricSoccer Master PackWildcard Pro Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$100$50
Calibrated EV$92.25$47.43
Cash-out ratio0.784x0.812x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.922x0.949x
Median pull$85.00$42.00
Hit rate24.8%19.4%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.36x0.33x
Pulls indexed141134

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Soccer Master Pack: 577 points from Jul 26 to Sep 18, starting at 0.73x and ending at 0.78x, up overall (+6.8%), ranging between 0.66x and 0.98x. Wildcard Pro Pack: 567 points from Jul 29 to Sep 18, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.81x, up overall (+21.2%), ranging between 0.63x and 0.93x.

Soccer Master PackWildcard Pro Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Soccer Master Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Soccer Master Pack or Wildcard Pro Pack?
Wildcard Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.812x vs 0.784x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Soccer Master Pack: 24.8% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Pro Pack: 19.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Soccer Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.36x vs 0.33x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Soccer Master Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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