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Soccer Master Pack vs Soccer Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Soccer Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.837x cash-out ratio against Soccer Master Pack's 0.725x, across 180 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricSoccer Master PackSoccer Pro Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$100$50
Calibrated EV$85.38$46.43
Cash-out ratio0.725x0.837x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.854x0.929x
Median pull$86.80$42.60
Hit rate25.4%25.6%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.39x0.41x
Pulls indexed63117

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Soccer Master Pack: 462 points from Jul 26 to Sep 10, starting at 0.73x and ending at 0.72x, down overall (-1.1%), ranging between 0.66x and 0.98x. Soccer Pro Pack: 462 points from Jul 26 to Sep 10, starting at 0.63x and ending at 0.84x, up overall (+32.6%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.05x.

Soccer Master PackSoccer Pro Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Soccer Master Pack vs Soccer Pro Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Soccer Master Pack or Soccer Pro Pack?
Soccer Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.837x vs 0.725x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Soccer Master Pack: 25.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Soccer Pro Pack: 25.6%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Soccer Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.41x vs 0.39x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Soccer Master Pack EV & verdict · Soccer Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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