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Soccer Master Pack vs Soccer Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Soccer Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.855x cash-out ratio against Soccer Pro Pack's 0.837x, across 1,271 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricSoccer Master PackSoccer Pro Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$100$50
Calibrated EV$100.91$48.67
Cash-out ratio0.855x0.837x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.009x0.973x
Median pull$86.80$44.00
Hit rate28.9%28.7%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.45x0.41x
Pulls indexed505766

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Soccer Master Pack: 986 points from Jul 26 to Oct 25, starting at 0.73x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+16.8%), ranging between 0.65x and 0.98x. Soccer Pro Pack: 986 points from Jul 26 to Oct 25, starting at 0.60x and ending at 0.84x, up overall (+39.0%), ranging between 0.60x and 1.01x.

Soccer Master PackSoccer Pro Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Soccer Master Pack vs Soccer Pro Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Soccer Master Pack or Soccer Pro Pack?
Soccer Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.855x vs 0.837x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Soccer Master Pack: 28.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Soccer Pro Pack: 28.7%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Soccer Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.45x vs 0.41x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Soccer Master Pack EV & verdict · Soccer Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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