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Soccer Master Pack vs Soccer Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Soccer Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.855x cash-out ratio against Soccer Platinum Pack's 0.818x, across 576 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricSoccer Master PackSoccer Platinum Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$100$500
Calibrated EV$100.91$482.66
Cash-out ratio0.855x0.818x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.009x0.965x
Median pull$86.80$450.00
Hit rate28.9%35.2%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.45x0.45x
Pulls indexed50571

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Soccer Master Pack: 986 points from Jul 26 to Oct 25, starting at 0.73x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+16.8%), ranging between 0.65x and 0.98x. Soccer Platinum Pack: 966 points from Jul 30 to Oct 25, starting at 0.81x and ending at 0.82x, essentially flat across the period, ranging between 0.63x and 1.09x.

Soccer Master PackSoccer Platinum Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Soccer Master Pack vs Soccer Platinum Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Soccer Master Pack or Soccer Platinum Pack?
Soccer Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.855x vs 0.818x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Soccer Master Pack: 28.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Soccer Platinum Pack: 35.2%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Neither stands out: both sit at about 0.45x stddev/EV, so on this measure they are level.

Full pages: Soccer Master Pack EV & verdict · Soccer Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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