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Silver Age Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Silver Age Pack is currently the better value: a 0.895x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Pro Pack's 0.808x, across 484 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricSilver Age PackWildcard Pro Pack
VerdictNO DATASKIP
Pack price$500$50
Calibrated EV$529.07$47.53
Cash-out ratio0.895x0.808x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.058x0.951x
Median pull$459.10$43.10
Hit rate40.0%26.4%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.40x0.37x
Pulls indexed10474

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Silver Age Pack: 843 points from Aug 7 to Oct 25, starting at 1.60x and ending at 0.90x, down overall (-44.0%), ranging between 0.54x and 1.60x. Wildcard Pro Pack: 966 points from Jul 29 to Oct 25, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.81x, up overall (+21.5%), ranging between 0.63x and 0.93x.

Silver Age PackWildcard Pro Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Silver Age Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Silver Age Pack or Wildcard Pro Pack?
Silver Age Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.895x vs 0.808x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Silver Age Pack: 40.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Pro Pack: 26.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Silver Age Pack has the higher volatility (0.40x vs 0.37x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Silver Age Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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