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Pokémon Pro Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Pokémon Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.904x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Pro Pack's 0.766x, across 1,136 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricPokémon Pro PackWildcard Pro Pack
VerdictCAUTIONSKIP
Pack price$50$50
Calibrated EV$52.45$44.10
Cash-out ratio0.904x0.766x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.049x0.882x
Median pull$43.70$43.10
Hit rate29.1%23.4%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.59x0.29x
Pulls indexed1,08947

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Pro Pack: 525 points from Jul 3 to Sep 10, starting at 0.66x and ending at 0.90x, up overall (+37.4%), ranging between 0.66x and 0.96x. Wildcard Pro Pack: 452 points from Jul 29 to Sep 10, starting at 0.68x and ending at 0.77x, up overall (+12.8%), ranging between 0.64x and 0.94x.

Pokémon Pro PackWildcard Pro Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Pokémon Pro Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Pokémon Pro Pack or Wildcard Pro Pack?
Pokémon Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.904x vs 0.766x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Pokémon Pro Pack: 29.1% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Pro Pack: 23.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Pokémon Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.59x vs 0.29x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Pokémon Pro Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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