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Pokémon Platinum Pack vs Pokémon Platinum (Spicy): which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Pokémon Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 1.116x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Platinum (Spicy)'s 0.799x, across 50 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricPokémon Platinum PackPokémon Platinum (Spicy)
VerdictEARLY READSKIP
Pack price$500$499
Calibrated EV$641.23$471.12
Cash-out ratio1.116x0.799x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.282x0.944x
Median pull$450.00$415.70
Hit rate29.6%26.1%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.44x0.33x
Pulls indexed2723

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Platinum Pack: 420 points from Aug 1 to Sep 10, starting at 0.87x and ending at 1.12x, up overall (+28.1%), ranging between 0.77x and 1.36x. Pokémon Platinum (Spicy): 452 points from Jul 29 to Sep 10, starting at 1.06x and ending at 0.80x, down overall (-24.8%), ranging between 0.58x and 1.06x.

Pokémon Platinum PackPokémon Platinum (Spicy)

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Pokémon Platinum Pack vs Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Pokémon Platinum Pack or Pokémon Platinum (Spicy)?
Pokémon Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.116x vs 0.799x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Pokémon Platinum Pack: 29.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Platinum (Spicy): 26.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Pokémon Platinum Pack has the higher volatility (0.44x vs 0.33x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Pokémon Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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