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One Piece Starter Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, One Piece Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.855x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Pro Pack's 0.852x, across 389 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricOne Piece Starter PackWildcard Pro Pack
VerdictSKIPCAUTION
Pack price$25$50
Calibrated EV$24.62$49.79
Cash-out ratio0.855x0.852x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.985x0.996x
Median pull$21.80$42.10
Hit rate23.8%20.6%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.32x0.36x
Pulls indexed248141

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. One Piece Starter Pack: 595 points from Jul 12 to Sep 19, starting at 0.78x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+9.1%), ranging between 0.62x and 1.02x. Wildcard Pro Pack: 578 points from Jul 29 to Sep 19, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+27.4%), ranging between 0.63x and 0.93x.

One Piece Starter PackWildcard Pro Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

One Piece Starter Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: One Piece Starter Pack or Wildcard Pro Pack?
One Piece Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.855x vs 0.852x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
One Piece Starter Pack: 23.8% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Pro Pack: 20.6%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Wildcard Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.36x vs 0.32x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: One Piece Starter Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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