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One Piece Starter Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, One Piece Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 1.084x EV ratio against Wildcard Basic Pack's 0.959x, across 222 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricOne Piece Starter PackWildcard Basic Pack
VerdictEARLY READSKIP
Pack price$25$15
Calibrated EV$27.11$14.38
EV ratio1.084x0.959x
Cash-out EV ratio1.080x0.901x
Median pull$22.55$13.20
Hit rate33.3%16.2%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.39x0.36x
Pulls indexed12210

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

EV ratio over time, two packs compared. One Piece Starter Pack: 139 points from Jul 3 to Aug 4, starting at 0.76x and ending at 1.08x, up overall (+43.6%), ranging between 0.71x and 1.18x. Wildcard Basic Pack: 139 points from Jul 3 to Aug 4, starting at 0.96x and ending at 0.96x, essentially flat across the period, ranging between 0.89x and 1.28x.

One Piece Starter PackWildcard Basic Pack

Ratios computed against each pack's current price.

03 / Quick answers

One Piece Starter Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: One Piece Starter Pack or Wildcard Basic Pack?
One Piece Starter Pack currently offers the better EV ratio (1.084x vs 0.959x). Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
One Piece Starter Pack: 33.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Basic Pack: 16.2%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
One Piece Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.39x vs 0.36x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: One Piece Starter Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Basic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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