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One Piece Pro Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Wildcard Basic Pack is currently the better value: a 0.853x cash-out ratio against One Piece Pro Pack's 0.853x, across 19,594 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricOne Piece Pro PackWildcard Basic Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$50$15
Calibrated EV$49.81$14.96
Cash-out ratio0.853x0.853x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.996x0.997x
Median pull$44.30$13.20
Hit rate31.2%26.4%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.46x0.48x
Pulls indexed2,03117,563

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. One Piece Pro Pack: 1000 points from Aug 12 to Nov 5, starting at 0.88x and ending at 0.85x, down overall (-3.4%), ranging between 0.82x and 1.21x. Wildcard Basic Pack: 1000 points from Aug 12 to Nov 5, starting at 0.83x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+3.0%), ranging between 0.82x and 0.88x.

One Piece Pro PackWildcard Basic Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

One Piece Pro Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: One Piece Pro Pack or Wildcard Basic Pack?
Wildcard Basic Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.853x vs 0.853x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
One Piece Pro Pack: 31.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Basic Pack: 26.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Wildcard Basic Pack has the higher volatility (0.48x vs 0.46x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: One Piece Pro Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Basic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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