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One Piece Master Pack vs One Piece Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, One Piece Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.901x cash-out ratio against One Piece Ultra Pack's 0.771x, across 94 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricOne Piece Master PackOne Piece Ultra Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$100$250
Calibrated EV$106.45$227.83
Cash-out ratio0.901x0.771x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.065x0.911x
Median pull$86.60$224.50
Hit rate25.0%31.8%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.37x0.60x
Pulls indexed7222

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. One Piece Master Pack: 468 points from Jul 18 to Sep 10, starting at 0.63x and ending at 0.90x, up overall (+44.2%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.24x. One Piece Ultra Pack: 447 points from Jul 29 to Sep 10, starting at 0.70x and ending at 0.77x, up overall (+10.1%), ranging between 0.70x and 1.72x.

One Piece Master PackOne Piece Ultra Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

One Piece Master Pack vs One Piece Ultra Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: One Piece Master Pack or One Piece Ultra Pack?
One Piece Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.901x vs 0.771x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
One Piece Master Pack: 25.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. One Piece Ultra Pack: 31.8%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
One Piece Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.60x vs 0.37x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: One Piece Master Pack EV & verdict · One Piece Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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