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Hockey Pro Pack vs Hockey Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Hockey Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.880x cash-out ratio against Hockey Pro Pack's 0.875x, across 90 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricHockey Pro PackHockey Starter Pack
VerdictCAUTIONSKIP
Pack price$50$25
Calibrated EV$51.57$24.80
Cash-out ratio0.875x0.880x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.031x0.992x
Median pull$45.40$23.70
Hit rate33.3%43.1%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.28x0.35x
Pulls indexed3951

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Hockey Pro Pack: 446 points from Jul 29 to Sep 10, starting at 0.64x and ending at 0.88x, up overall (+36.5%), ranging between 0.64x and 1.00x. Hockey Starter Pack: 524 points from Jul 3 to Sep 10, starting at 0.86x and ending at 0.88x, up overall (+2.8%), ranging between 0.75x and 1.12x.

Hockey Pro PackHockey Starter Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Hockey Pro Pack vs Hockey Starter Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Hockey Pro Pack or Hockey Starter Pack?
Hockey Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.880x vs 0.875x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Hockey Pro Pack: 33.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Hockey Starter Pack: 43.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Hockey Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.35x vs 0.28x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Hockey Pro Pack EV & verdict · Hockey Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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