Hockey Master Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Basic Pack is currently the better value: a 0.853x cash-out ratio against Hockey Master Pack's 0.841x, across 12,769 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Hockey Master Pack | Wildcard Basic Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $100 | $15 |
| Calibrated EV | $99.19 | $14.92 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.841x | 0.853x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.992x | 0.995x |
| Median pull | $84.40 | $13.10 |
| Hit rate | 27.3% | 24.1% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.40x | 0.46x |
| Pulls indexed | 231 | 12,538 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Hockey Master Pack: 909 points from Aug 6 to Oct 28, starting at 1.03x and ending at 0.84x, down overall (-18.7%), ranging between 0.72x and 1.03x. Wildcard Basic Pack: 1000 points from Jul 30 to Oct 28, starting at 0.82x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+3.3%), ranging between 0.82x and 0.89x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Hockey Master Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Hockey Master Pack or Wildcard Basic Pack?
- Wildcard Basic Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.853x vs 0.841x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Hockey Master Pack: 27.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Basic Pack: 24.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Wildcard Basic Pack has the higher volatility (0.46x vs 0.40x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Hockey Master Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Basic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies