Hockey Master Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Basic Pack is currently the better value: a 0.895x cash-out ratio against Hockey Master Pack's 0.745x, across 1,185 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Hockey Master Pack | Wildcard Basic Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $100 | $15 |
| Calibrated EV | $88.05 | $14.95 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.745x | 0.895x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.880x | 0.997x |
| Median pull | $95.55 | $13.10 |
| Hit rate | 50.0% | 18.7% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.20x | 0.39x |
| Pulls indexed | 10 | 1,175 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Hockey Master Pack: 354 points from Aug 6 to Sep 11, starting at 1.03x and ending at 0.74x, down overall (-27.8%), ranging between 0.74x and 1.03x. Wildcard Basic Pack: 474 points from Jul 12 to Sep 11, starting at 0.88x and ending at 0.90x, up overall (+2.2%), ranging between 0.81x and 1.15x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Hockey Master Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Hockey Master Pack or Wildcard Basic Pack?
- Wildcard Basic Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.895x vs 0.745x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Hockey Master Pack: 50.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Basic Pack: 18.7%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Wildcard Basic Pack has the higher volatility (0.39x vs 0.20x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Hockey Master Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Basic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies