Hockey Master Pack vs Hockey Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Hockey Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.880x cash-out ratio against Hockey Master Pack's 0.745x, across 61 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Hockey Master Pack | Hockey Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $100 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $88.05 | $24.80 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.745x | 0.880x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.880x | 0.992x |
| Median pull | $95.55 | $23.70 |
| Hit rate | 50.0% | 43.1% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.20x | 0.35x |
| Pulls indexed | 10 | 51 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Hockey Master Pack: 350 points from Aug 6 to Sep 10, starting at 1.03x and ending at 0.74x, down overall (-27.8%), ranging between 0.74x and 1.03x. Hockey Starter Pack: 524 points from Jul 3 to Sep 10, starting at 0.86x and ending at 0.88x, up overall (+2.8%), ranging between 0.75x and 1.12x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Hockey Master Pack vs Hockey Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Hockey Master Pack or Hockey Starter Pack?
- Hockey Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.880x vs 0.745x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Hockey Master Pack: 50.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Hockey Starter Pack: 43.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Hockey Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.35x vs 0.20x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Hockey Master Pack EV & verdict · Hockey Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies