Hockey Master Pack vs Hockey Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Hockey Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.928x cash-out ratio against Hockey Master Pack's 0.860x, across 581 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Hockey Master Pack | Hockey Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $100 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $101.48 | $26.26 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.860x | 0.928x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.015x | 1.050x |
| Median pull | $84.85 | $22.10 |
| Hit rate | 26.6% | 30.6% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.41x | 0.74x |
| Pulls indexed | 218 | 363 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Hockey Master Pack: 859 points from Aug 6 to Oct 24, starting at 1.03x and ending at 0.86x, down overall (-16.8%), ranging between 0.72x and 1.03x. Hockey Starter Pack: 978 points from Jul 17 to Oct 24, starting at 0.75x and ending at 0.93x, up overall (+23.4%), ranging between 0.75x and 1.29x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Hockey Master Pack vs Hockey Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Hockey Master Pack or Hockey Starter Pack?
- Hockey Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.928x vs 0.860x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Hockey Master Pack: 26.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Hockey Starter Pack: 30.6%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Hockey Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.74x vs 0.41x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Hockey Master Pack EV & verdict · Hockey Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies