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Hockey Master Pack vs Hockey Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Hockey Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.875x cash-out ratio against Hockey Master Pack's 0.745x, across 49 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricHockey Master PackHockey Pro Pack
VerdictSKIPCAUTION
Pack price$100$50
Calibrated EV$88.05$51.57
Cash-out ratio0.745x0.875x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.880x1.031x
Median pull$95.55$45.40
Hit rate50.0%33.3%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.20x0.28x
Pulls indexed1039

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Hockey Master Pack: 350 points from Aug 6 to Sep 10, starting at 1.03x and ending at 0.74x, down overall (-27.8%), ranging between 0.74x and 1.03x. Hockey Pro Pack: 446 points from Jul 29 to Sep 10, starting at 0.64x and ending at 0.88x, up overall (+36.5%), ranging between 0.64x and 1.00x.

Hockey Master PackHockey Pro Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Hockey Master Pack vs Hockey Pro Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Hockey Master Pack or Hockey Pro Pack?
Hockey Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.875x vs 0.745x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Hockey Master Pack: 50.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Hockey Pro Pack: 33.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Hockey Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.28x vs 0.20x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Hockey Master Pack EV & verdict · Hockey Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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