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Hockey Master Pack vs Hockey Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Hockey Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 0.919x cash-out ratio against Hockey Master Pack's 0.881x, across 320 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricHockey Master PackHockey Platinum Pack
VerdictCAUTIONCAUTION
Pack price$100$500
Calibrated EV$103.41$542.86
Cash-out ratio0.881x0.919x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.034x1.086x
Median pull$84.85$422.00
Hit rate28.2%33.3%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.44x0.62x
Pulls indexed28436

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Hockey Master Pack: 1000 points from Aug 7 to Nov 3, starting at 0.94x and ending at 0.88x, down overall (-6.3%), ranging between 0.72x and 1.02x. Hockey Platinum Pack: 749 points from Sep 3 to Nov 3, starting at 0.79x and ending at 0.92x, up overall (+16.2%), ranging between 0.66x and 1.49x.

Hockey Master PackHockey Platinum Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Hockey Master Pack vs Hockey Platinum Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Hockey Master Pack or Hockey Platinum Pack?
Hockey Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.919x vs 0.881x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Hockey Master Pack: 28.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Hockey Platinum Pack: 33.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Hockey Platinum Pack has the higher volatility (0.62x vs 0.44x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Hockey Master Pack EV & verdict · Hockey Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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