Football Starter Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Football Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.931x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Basic Pack's 0.856x, across 14,251 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Starter Pack | Wildcard Basic Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $25 | $15 |
| Calibrated EV | $26.02 | $14.97 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.931x | 0.856x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.041x | 0.998x |
| Median pull | $22.30 | $13.10 |
| Hit rate | 28.8% | 23.7% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.51x | 0.44x |
| Pulls indexed | 2,511 | 11,740 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Starter Pack: 997 points from Jul 28 to Oct 26, starting at 0.68x and ending at 0.93x, up overall (+36.3%), ranging between 0.67x and 1.12x. Wildcard Basic Pack: 1000 points from Jul 26 to Oct 26, starting at 1.10x and ending at 0.86x, down overall (-21.9%), ranging between 0.82x and 1.10x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Starter Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Starter Pack or Wildcard Basic Pack?
- Football Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.931x vs 0.856x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Starter Pack: 28.8% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Basic Pack: 23.7%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Football Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.51x vs 0.44x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Starter Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Basic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies