Football Starter Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Football Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.991x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Basic Pack's 0.908x, across 1,330 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Starter Pack | Wildcard Basic Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $25 | $15 |
| Calibrated EV | $26.85 | $15.15 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.991x | 0.908x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.074x | 1.010x |
| Median pull | $22.50 | $13.10 |
| Hit rate | 33.5% | 18.9% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.45x | 0.39x |
| Pulls indexed | 164 | 1,166 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Starter Pack: 459 points from Jul 28 to Sep 10, starting at 0.70x and ending at 0.99x, up overall (+40.6%), ranging between 0.69x and 1.15x. Wildcard Basic Pack: 525 points from Jul 3 to Sep 10, starting at 0.86x and ending at 0.91x, up overall (+5.0%), ranging between 0.80x and 1.15x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Starter Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Starter Pack or Wildcard Basic Pack?
- Football Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.991x vs 0.908x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Starter Pack: 33.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Basic Pack: 18.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Football Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.45x vs 0.39x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Starter Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Basic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies