Football Starter Pack vs Sports Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.899x cash-out ratio against Football Starter Pack's 0.847x, across 1,956 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Starter Pack | Sports Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $25 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $24.28 | $24.99 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.847x | 0.899x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.971x | 1.000x |
| Median pull | $22.10 | $18.90 |
| Hit rate | 27.5% | 31.9% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.43x | 0.69x |
| Pulls indexed | 578 | 1,378 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Starter Pack: 577 points from Jul 28 to Sep 19, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+27.0%), ranging between 0.66x and 1.09x. Sports Starter Pack: 586 points from Jul 18 to Sep 19, starting at 0.53x and ending at 0.90x, up overall (+69.9%), ranging between 0.53x and 1.66x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Starter Pack vs Sports Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Starter Pack or Sports Starter Pack?
- Sports Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.899x vs 0.847x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Starter Pack: 27.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Starter Pack: 31.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.69x vs 0.43x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Starter Pack EV & verdict · Sports Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies