Football Starter Pack vs Sports Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.943x cash-out ratio against Football Starter Pack's 0.873x, across 1,182 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Starter Pack | Sports Pro Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $25 | $50 |
| Calibrated EV | $24.94 | $54.75 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.873x | 0.943x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.998x | 1.095x |
| Median pull | $22.15 | $45.20 |
| Hit rate | 27.8% | 33.2% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.40x | 0.53x |
| Pulls indexed | 908 | 274 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Starter Pack: 659 points from Jul 28 to Sep 30, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.87x, up overall (+30.4%), ranging between 0.66x and 1.09x. Sports Pro Pack: 670 points from Jul 12 to Sep 30, starting at 0.73x and ending at 0.94x, up overall (+28.8%), ranging between 0.61x and 1.04x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Starter Pack vs Sports Pro Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Starter Pack or Sports Pro Pack?
- Sports Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.943x vs 0.873x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Starter Pack: 27.8% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Pro Pack: 33.2%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.53x vs 0.40x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Starter Pack EV & verdict · Sports Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies