Football Pro Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Football Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.901x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Basic Pack's 0.838x, across 3,716 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Pro Pack | Wildcard Basic Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $50 | $15 |
| Calibrated EV | $52.10 | $14.50 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.901x | 0.838x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.042x | 0.967x |
| Median pull | $43.30 | $12.90 |
| Hit rate | 30.9% | 18.9% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.50x | 0.39x |
| Pulls indexed | 570 | 3,146 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Pro Pack: 648 points from Jul 17 to Sep 27, starting at 1.49x and ending at 0.90x, down overall (-39.4%), ranging between 0.76x and 1.49x. Wildcard Basic Pack: 649 points from Jul 12 to Sep 27, starting at 0.85x and ending at 0.84x, down overall (-0.9%), ranging between 0.79x and 1.11x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Pro Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Pro Pack or Wildcard Basic Pack?
- Football Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.901x vs 0.838x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Pro Pack: 30.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Basic Pack: 18.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Football Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.50x vs 0.39x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Pro Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Basic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies