Football Pro Pack vs Sports Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.934x cash-out ratio against Football Pro Pack's 0.868x, across 5,873 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Pro Pack | Sports Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $50 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $50.56 | $26.72 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.868x | 0.934x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.011x | 1.069x |
| Median pull | $43.50 | $20.20 |
| Hit rate | 30.3% | 35.1% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.51x | 0.75x |
| Pulls indexed | 2,177 | 3,696 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Pro Pack: 1000 points from Aug 12 to Nov 5, starting at 0.91x and ending at 0.87x, down overall (-4.7%), ranging between 0.84x and 1.06x. Sports Starter Pack: 1000 points from Aug 12 to Nov 5, starting at 0.90x and ending at 0.93x, up overall (+4.1%), ranging between 0.82x and 0.98x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Pro Pack vs Sports Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Pro Pack or Sports Starter Pack?
- Sports Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.934x vs 0.868x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Pro Pack: 30.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Starter Pack: 35.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.75x vs 0.51x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Pro Pack EV & verdict · Sports Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies