Football Pro Pack vs Sports Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.913x cash-out ratio against Football Pro Pack's 0.872x, across 1,918 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Pro Pack | Sports Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $50 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $50.19 | $25.43 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.872x | 0.913x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.004x | 1.017x |
| Median pull | $43.20 | $19.10 |
| Hit rate | 30.5% | 32.2% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.50x | 0.69x |
| Pulls indexed | 489 | 1,429 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Pro Pack: 600 points from Jul 17 to Sep 20, starting at 1.49x and ending at 0.87x, down overall (-41.6%), ranging between 0.76x and 1.49x. Sports Starter Pack: 599 points from Jul 18 to Sep 20, starting at 0.53x and ending at 0.91x, up overall (+73.1%), ranging between 0.53x and 1.66x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Pro Pack vs Sports Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Pro Pack or Sports Starter Pack?
- Sports Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.913x vs 0.872x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Pro Pack: 30.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Starter Pack: 32.2%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.69x vs 0.50x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Pro Pack EV & verdict · Sports Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies