Football Pro Pack vs Sports Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.946x cash-out ratio against Football Pro Pack's 0.898x, across 808 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Pro Pack | Sports Pro Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $50 | $50 |
| Calibrated EV | $51.90 | $54.80 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.898x | 0.946x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.038x | 1.096x |
| Median pull | $43.30 | $45.00 |
| Hit rate | 30.9% | 33.5% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.50x | 0.53x |
| Pulls indexed | 557 | 251 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Pro Pack: 644 points from Jul 17 to Sep 27, starting at 1.49x and ending at 0.90x, down overall (-39.6%), ranging between 0.76x and 1.49x. Sports Pro Pack: 645 points from Jul 12 to Sep 27, starting at 0.73x and ending at 0.95x, up overall (+29.1%), ranging between 0.61x and 1.04x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Pro Pack vs Sports Pro Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Pro Pack or Sports Pro Pack?
- Sports Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.946x vs 0.898x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Pro Pack: 30.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Pro Pack: 33.5%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.53x vs 0.50x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Pro Pack EV & verdict · Sports Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies