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Football Pro Pack vs Sports Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Sports Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 1.149x EV ratio against Football Pro Pack's 0.904x, across 58 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricFootball Pro PackSports Pro Pack
VerdictSKIPEARLY READ
Pack price$50$50
Calibrated EV$45.19$57.45
EV ratio0.904x1.149x
Cash-out EV ratio0.865x1.034x
Median pull$42.90$46.65
Hit rate18.2%42.9%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.30x0.36x
Pulls indexed4414

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

EV ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Pro Pack: 174 points from Jul 3 to Aug 5, starting at 1.47x and ending at 0.90x, down overall (-38.7%), ranging between 0.88x and 1.74x. Sports Pro Pack: 175 points from Jul 3 to Aug 5, starting at 0.97x and ending at 1.15x, up overall (+18.9%), ranging between 0.71x and 1.21x.

Football Pro PackSports Pro Pack

Ratios computed against each pack's current price.

03 / Quick answers

Football Pro Pack vs Sports Pro Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Football Pro Pack or Sports Pro Pack?
Sports Pro Pack currently offers the better EV ratio (1.149x vs 0.904x). Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Football Pro Pack: 18.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Pro Pack: 42.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Sports Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.36x vs 0.30x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Football Pro Pack EV & verdict · Sports Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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